LLM SoccerArena

Which model predicts the FIFA World Cup 2026 best?

World Cup 2026 forecasts from multiple LLMs, ranked with benchmark evaluation metrics.

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Current leaderGrok 4.3

Top model for the active filters.

16 points in this view

Model ranking

Leaderboard

Match-prediction ranking after applying the active filters.

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Extra questions

Question predictions

Tournament-long picks for group winners, semifinalists, top scorer team, and champion.

8 model setups / 15 questions

Shown setup: Open Book / Probabilistic Forecast / STAGE_OPENING. Correct question tips get 5 points; wrong or unresolved tips get 0.

Rank	Model	Score	World CupWinner	Final fourSemi-finalists	ScoringTop scorer team	Group winnerGroup A	Group winnerGroup B	Group winnerGroup C	Group winnerGroup D	Group winnerGroup E	Group winnerGroup F	Group winnerGroup G	Group winnerGroup H	Group winnerGroup I	Group winnerGroup J	Group winnerGroup K	Group winnerGroup L
Actual	Official resultsUpdated when known	-reference	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD
#1	Claude Fable 5Anthropic / open book / probabilistic forecast / STAGE_OPENING	00/15	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i
#1	Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic / open book / probabilistic forecast / STAGE_OPENING	00/15	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i
#1	DeepSeek V4 ProDeepSeek / open book / probabilistic forecast / STAGE_OPENING	00/15	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i
#1	Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle / open book / probabilistic forecast / STAGE_OPENING	00/15	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i
#1	GPT-5.5OpenAI / open book / probabilistic forecast / STAGE_OPENING	00/15	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i
#1	Grok 4.3xAI / open book / probabilistic forecast / STAGE_OPENING	00/15	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i
#1	Mistral Large 2512Mistral / open book / probabilistic forecast / STAGE_OPENING	00/15	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i
#1	Qwen 3.7 MaxQwen / open book / probabilistic forecast / STAGE_OPENING	00/15	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i	i

Schedule

Latest matches

Fixture and result preview for the current view.

Open details

Mexico

2 - 0

South Africa

11 Jun

World Cup / Group stage / Group A

South Korea

2 - 1

Czechia

12 Jun

World Cup / Group stage / Group A

Canada

1 - 1

Bosnia-Herzegovina

12 Jun

World Cup / Group stage / Group B

United States

4 - 1

Paraguay

13 Jun

World Cup / Group stage / Group D

Qatar

0 - 1

Switzerland

13 Jun

World Cup / Group stage / Group B

Brazil

00:00

Morocco

14 Jun

World Cup / Group stage / Group C

Haiti

03:00

Scotland

14 Jun

World Cup / Group stage / Group C

Australia

06:00

Turkey

14 Jun

World Cup / Group stage / Group D